Eurovision 2017 Betting Tips (13th May)


May 12, 2017 Facebook Twitter LinkedIn Google+ All,Specials


Eurovision 2017 Betting – A Punters Paradise!

 

 


The Eurovision Song contest may not officially start until May 9th with the first of two semi-finals staged live in Kiev, but the competition is as good as underway with the acts representing the 43 participating countries and their songs now known.

Rarely, if ever, are the runners and riders (final declarations to quote a horse racing term) known so long before a race starts.  Yet, the competition never fails to throw up surprise winners with a back-story which makes their victory blatantly obvious in hindsight.


Eurovision 2017 Videos Playlist


Eurovision 2017 Betting Preview

Last year was no exception, Ukraine’s entry was not a great song by any means but it overcame the polls and big price, just like Brexit, to prevail in the end.  The reason was simple.  The winning song was called 1944, it was partly sung in Crimean Tatar and was largely seen as a political jab at the Kremlin.  Let us not forget Russia has recent ‘history’ with Ukraine and annexed Crimea just three years ago.

Furthermore Russian leader Vladimir Putin is on the record as declaring the derisively branded Eurovision “a Europe-wide gay parade” after bearded lady Conchita Wurst won for Austria in 2014.

His sentiments are not too far off the mark if the truth be known as Eurovision is a celebration of LGBT but that also means the voters will vote for camp acts and do all they can to derail the usually strong Russian act/song.


Lay the Italian Favourites

The red-hot favourites for 2017 are Italy.  Being one of the ‘Big Five’ they will be fast-tracked directly to the final (on May 13th) alongside Spain, the UK, France, Germany, and defending champions Ukraine.

An instant place amongst the final 22 acts apart, just how their artist, Francesco Gabbani and his song Occidentali’s Karma is trading at 7/4 is mystifying.  It is probably a case of ‘weight of money’ from a gambling mad Italian public.  Furthermore he does perform his song alongside someone dressed as an ape (no its true) so there is a degree of ‘novelty’ which is always a big selling-point in Eurovision.

But Italy were 6/4 favourites at this stage last year and they ultimately never finished in the top-15.  Then, as this year, their song was performed in Italian and it is noteworthy that only two of the past 25 winners have performed a song ina language other than English.


And the winner is…

At the prices surely you have to lay Italy at 7/4 on Betfair Exchange.  But who will prevail in 2017?  Ireland have the best record of all in the competition but they will surely not add to their tally of seven wins this year.  

Ireland’s representative, Brendan Murray, sounds like a female singer and his song lacks any highs, lows or all-important sing-along-ability.  The UK’s act, Lucie Bethan Jones, is a woman and sounds like one.  But the eighth-place finisher in X-Factor 2009 has the same shortcomings with her song, ‘Never Give Up on You’.  Even at SkyBet’s great each-way terms (1/4 odds 1-2-3-4) or top-price 40/1 its very hard to be tempted to back her.

Bulgaria do have a catchy song though and their artist, 17-year-old Kristian Kostov comes with a back-story.  He was born in Russia.  At Paddy Power’s 8/1 he has to be our first pick.

But we really love Australia’s entrant, Isaiah Firebrace who sings ‘Don’t Come Easy’. Another 17-year-old he won last year’s X-Factor competition – as did Dami Lm who was runner-up for Australia in last year’s Eurovision.  Australia has proven to be a hit with Eurovision fans, they also finished fifth on their debut appearance in 2015.

Firebrace has the requisite pretty-boy looks and charm, furthermore his song seems custom-made for a new-age love-ballad radio audience.  At Betfred’s 16/1 the youngster looks great value to make the each-way paying places at the very last and could well surprise a few of the early favourites, if not all of them.


Recommended Eurovision Bets

Bulgaria 8/1 with Paddy Power

Australia (each-way) 16/1 with Betfred

 

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