Formula One Tips: Malaysian Grand Prix Betting Preview (Fri-Sun)

October 1, 2017 Facebook Twitter LinkedIn Google+ All,Formula1

Take Two Ferrari’s in Malaysian Grand Prix

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Both Channel 4 and Sky Sports are broadcasting the entire F1 weekend this week.  The action comes from Malaysia and Practice Session No. 1 gets underway at 4am Friday morning.

Lewis Hamilton will surely come into this race full of confidence.  Victories at Italy and Belgium may not have been total surprises but triumph in Singapore last time, in a race where his chief title rival crashed out on the opening lap, has taken his 2017 win tally to seven and current win sequence to three.

This record makes the Brit’s outright price of even-money (top priced at Stan James) for race victory fully justified.  But he is surely way too short at 11/10 to top the time-sheets of the opening session.

Hamilton is six-from-13 in the ‘practice 1’ stakes this year but despite winning four of the last five races, he has only topped the time-sheets once during the past five race weekends.  In fact, he has gone fastest in just three of the past 15 practice sessions.

These results clearly underline a change in policy within the Mercedes garage with their engines clearly not turned up to their maximum performance capabilities during practice.  This is demonstrated by Lewis Hamilton’s qualifying record of eight pole positions during 2017.

Given the F1 stats at our disposal and understanding 11/2 represents value, we recommend a bet on Kimi Raikkonen in this market.  The Finn has already claimed two ‘victories’ in Practice 1 this season and he has the second fastest car in the sport right now. 

Sebastian Vettel to make it four?

In fact, the Ferrari might even be the fastest car in Malaysia. Despite two long straights cars need to be set up with a ‘high downforce’ configuration at this circuit and that plays to Ferrari’s strengths.

The multiple World Champion has won this race four times since 2010 and that’s enough to convince us he is the best option, at 2/1 with William Hill, on the race winner market.

10 from 13 means ‘no’ thanks

A Safety Car has only been needed her three times in the past 13 years and two of those incidents were related to a wet circuit (2009 and 2012). But this race is no longer staged in the spring (2016 was the first time it was given a late summer slot) and with the likelihood of rain lessened the 2/1 with Coral about a ‘no’ safety car scenario looks enormous.

Our Recommended Malaysian GP Bets:

  • Fastest in Practice 1 – Kimi Raikkonen 13/2 (7.50) BetStars

  • Race Winner – Sebastian Vettel 13/5 (3.60) BetStars

  • Safety Car to be Used? – No 2/1 (3.00) Coral