Free tip Novelty Betting: Who wins Eurovision 2018?

Eurovision Song Contest 2018

2018 Eurovision Betting Tips & Preview

4th April – The 2018 Eurovision Song Contest is less than a month away. Read on for some great Eurovision betting tips and advice… 

Two live semi-finals on May 8th and May 10th are followed by a grand final on May 12th.  The 2018 Eurovision event takes place in Lisbon, Portugal, as it was a Portuguese act which won the event in 2017.

Our Eurovision Betting Tips

  • Israel to win Eurovision 2018 at 2/1 (3.00) with Black Type
  • Australia (each way) at 16/1 (17.00) Sportingbet
  • …or ‘top five place’ 2/1 (3.00) Unibet

Watch all Eurovision 2018 Songs now

There will be 26 acts performing on finals night, ten apiece taken from each of the semi-finals plus France, Germany, Spain, Italy and the UK who are known as ‘the Big Five’ and are automatically fast-tracked to the final, along with defending champions Portugal.

But Eurovision betting is already underway with the acts and songs representing the 43 participating countries all known to the public. You can now watch all the Eurovision 2018 songs on their YouTube channel here.

Rarely, if ever, are the runners and riders (final declarations to quote a horse racing term) known so long before a race starts. Yet, the competition never fails to throw up surprise winners with a back-story which makes their victory blatantly obvious in hindsight.

2016 was a case in point.  Ukraine’s winning entry was not a great song by any means but it overcame the polls and big price (just like Brexit), to prevail.  The reason was simple – the winning song was called 1944, it was partly sung in Crimean Tatar and was largely seen as a political jab at the Kremlin.  

Let us not forget Russia has recent ‘history’ with Ukraine and annexed Crimea just a few years ago. Furthermore Russian leader Vladimir Putin is on the record as declaring Eurovision to be “a Europe-wide gay parade”, a statement he made after the bearded lady, Conchita Wurst, won the contest for Austria in 2014.

Putin’s sentiments are not too far off the mark if the truth be known as Eurovision is a celebration of LGBT.  It means that Eurovision voters will vote for camp acts and do all they can to derail the usually strong Russian act/song.

Israel worthy favourites

Unquestionably the 2018 song/act that will appeal to the LGBT sector of the viewing public, which happens to be where the majority of public votes come from, is Israel.

Their Israel Eurovision act is a 25-year-old woman called Netta, who is top-priced 7/4 (at Coral) due her happy-go-lucky quirkiness.  It actually stands out in this department. If you are looking for Eurovision betting tips then Israel has all the hallmarks of a fairly safe bet.

You can bet her to win the first semi-final with the best Eurovision odds of 10/11 (1.91) available at Betway but, be warned, the results of the semi-finals are not made public until the Eurovision finals night has been completed.

Single figures

Other acts trading at single figure prices in the 2018 Eurovision betting odds lists include the Czech Republic (10/1 top-price at Betfair), who also go in the first semi-final.  

They are represented by Mikolas Joseph who looks sure to win many votes courtesy of his clean-cut ‘pretty boy’ image. Estonia are second favourites at 11/2 but their song is ‘operatic’ and this genre of music has never fared well in Eurovision.

Latest Eurovision 2018 Betting Odds

  • Israel 2/1 fav
  • Estonia 7/1
  • Czech Republic 10/1
  • Bulgaria 12/1
  • Australia 15/1
  • Belgium 18/1
  • Sweden 22/1
  • Norway 25/1
  • France 28/1
  • Greece 40/1
  • 40/1 bar

Value Eurovision 2018 bet?

If you are looking for each-way Eurovision betting tips you could do worse than support Australia.

The land down-under has done really well since being accepted into the Eurovision fold in 2015.  They have never finished outside the top-10 and were the runner-ups in 2016.

Once again they have sent over a strong candidate, Jessica Mauboy, who was runner-up in 2006 edition of ‘Australian Idol’ and has since had a No. 1 single and a double-platinum selling album.  

Eurovision betting tips - Jessica Mauboy

Her song, ‘We Got Love’, has been well produced and is sure to appeal to the ‘professional juries’ who are responsible for fifty-percent of the overall votes.

At 16/1 each-way at Sportingbet, who will pay four places, you should not come to too much harm.  Alternatively you can back them for a ‘top five’ finish at 2/1 with Unibet.

Eurovision Betting Tips – Draw Advantage

If you are not placing your Eurovision bets until the finals night, do consider the effect of the Eurovision draw, traditionally the winning Eurovision act performs between the mid and late part of the final show.

Where recent acts performed in the running order of the final show?

YEAR / WINNERS DRAW / RUNNER-UP DRAW / THIRD DRAW

  • 2017 – 11 25 7
  • 2016 – 21 13 18
  • 2015 – 10 25 17
  • 2014 – 11 24 13
  • 2013 – 18 20 22
  • 2012 – 17 6 24
  • 2011 – 19 12 7
  • 2010 – 22 14 19
  • 2009 – 20 7 11
  • 2008 – 24 18 21
  • 2007 – 17 18 15

And there is one more thing to consider.  If you are sat at home watching and betting on Eurovision 2018, do be mindful that the competition result is known by the organisers the moment public voting has closed.  

However, for the overall betterment of the Eurovision TV show, executives chose to manipulate the order that countries announce their votes in order to keep the outright winner’s identity disguised for as long as possible.  These are both important factors to be considered when betting on the Eurovision Song Contest.

Betfinder’s Eurovision Betting Tips

  • Israel to win Eurovision 2018 at 2/1 (3.00) with Black Type
  • Australia (each way) at 16/1 (17.00) Sportingbet
  • …or ‘top five place’ 2/1 (3.00) Unibet

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