Free tip Formula 1 Betting Preview: USA Grand Prix (Fri-Sun)

Formula 1 Betting Preview – Everything Points to a Narrow Winning Margin in Austin

Compare Formula 1 Betting Odds here 

Formula 1 Betting Preview, Tips and Predictions

Our Recommended Formula 1 Betting Tips:

  • Winning Margin Under 5sec – 11/10 Betfred

  • Winner to Start Second on Grid – 5/2 Betfred

  • Kimi Raikkonen Fastest in P1  – 7/1 William Hill

  • Daniel Ricciardo Fastest in P1 – 7/1 Betfred

  • Max Verstappen Fastest in P1 – 15/2 Betfred


Formula 1


Formula 1 Betting Preview

Sunday’s US Grand Prix from Austin Texas is the seventeenth race of the 20 race 2017 Championship. Our Formula 1 betting preview takes you through our fancies and predictions for this exciting F1 weekend.

The first three races of the season saw wide-margin winners and a relatively high rate of attrition (five, five and seven drivers failing to be classified as finishers).  This can be attributed to teams, and cars, adjusting to new specifications.

But as the season has progressed cars have become slightly more reliable and winning margins have shown definite shrinkage.  Just three of the last 13 Formula 1 races have been won by a margin in excess of 5sec.

When you cross reference this trend of narrow margin winners the previous results at Sunday’s circuit, you will have to conclude a winning margin of 5sec or less is a knock-out bet with Betfred.

The Stoke-based online bookmaker make the under 5sec margin an 11/10 poke which is surely over-priced given just one of the five races staged here have been won by more than 5sec.  That year was 2013 when just 6.2sec separated race winner Sebastian Vettel and runner-up Romain Grosjean.

3/5 Stat Makes 5/2 F1 Betting Value

The grid position of the winner is an interesting one.  So far three US Grand Prix winners have started from second on the grid and only two on pole.  

Given the car starting second on the grid can be backed at 5/2 for race victory on Sunday, there’s grounds to support it.

Lewis Hamilton in No Hurry

But the best F1 bet of the weekend is opposing Lewis Hamilton in the opening practice session on Friday.

The Brit may have the fastest car and will arrive here full of confidence but that is no guarantee his Mercedes team will stress their engines more than the absolute minimum during an exploratory opening practice session.

Hamilton is 6/5 (2.20) to go fastest in the opening practice session (P1) which takes some believing when you consider he has topped the P1 timesheets just once in the last seven race weekends. In fact he has only claimed the accolade four times in the last 21 practice sessions.

Given the Champion elect has claimed pole position five times from seven race weekends over the same period, it’s pretty obvious Mercedes are not giving these practice sessions every last piece of horse power that they have in their engines.  

There’s two ways of going here.  Reach for the ‘lay’ button on the Betfair Exchange or back some of Hamilton’s chief rivals with the exception of his team-mate, Valtteri Bottas.

In fact, with Sebastian Vettel also under-priced (he’s 3/1 but has gone fastest in P1 just twice this year), we have it narrowed down to Kimi Raikkonen, Daniel Ricciardo and Max Verstappen.

Summary: Recommended F1 Bets:

  • Winning Margin Under 5sec – 11/10 Betfred

  • Winner to Start Second on Grid – 5/2 Betfred

  • Kimi Raikkonen Fastest in P1  – 7/1 William Hill

  • Daniel Ricciardo Fastest in P1 – 7/1 Betfred

  • Max Verstappen Fastest in P1 – 15/2 Betfred


The US Grand Prix is broadcast on both Channel 4 and Sky Sports. The first practice session starts Friday 4pm GMT.


Compare betting odds on the USA Grand Prix


Formula 1


Latest related offers

Betting offer

Get Paid Out Early If Your Team Goes 2 Up

Expires: 33D 09H 38M

Football Betting Offer

All Customers New and Existing with Paddy Power Accounts

Offer ends 26th May 2018

Football Betting Offer
Your bet will be paid out in full if your team is winning by 2 goals at any stage in the match regardless if your selection goes on to draw or lose the game. Applies to all Premier League, La Liga and Champions League games until 26th May 2018. 18+ T&C’s Apply

Football Betting Offer

All Customers New and Existing with Paddy Power Accounts

Offer ends 26th May 2018

Football Betting Offer
Your bet will be paid out in full if your team is winning by 2 goals at any stage in the match regardless if your selection goes on to draw or lose the game. Applies to all Premier League, La Liga and Champions League games until 26th May 2018. 18+ T&C’s Apply

Please gamble responsibly www.begambleaware.org

Who can take part?

  • The promotion is available for new and existing customers with registered Paddy Power accounts, aged 18 or over

How and when can I qualify?

  • Applies to all Premier League, La Liga and Champions League games until May 26th 2018
  • Applies to pre-match singles in the Win-Draw-Win market only. Offer does not apply to bets placed on the Draw selection in each game
  • Offer does not apply to in-play bets

What can I win?

  • Max pay-out on the offer is 25,000

When will I get my prize?

  • Your bet will be paid out in full if your team is winning by 2 goals at any stage in the match regardless if your selection goes on to draw or lose the game
  • If your selection is leading by two goals and goes on to win the match your bet will not be paid as a winner twice
  • All winning bets will be credited into your account within 15 minutes of your selection going two goals up

What else do I need to know?

  • Applies to all Online, Mobile, Phone and Text bets
  • Offer does not apply to bets placed in retail shops
  • When you partially Cash Out a bet the remaining part of your stake will be treated as a live bet and will be considered a stake in the same way as a regular single bet

Other boring but essential stuff

  • Paddy Power reserves the right, at its discretion, to exclude certain customers from this promotion and to change the terms or availability of this offer at any time
  • Paddy Power football rules apply
  • The full terms and conditions of Paddypower.com also apply to this offer
Betting offer

World Snooker Championship Double Winnings

Expires: 14D 10H 37M

World Snooker Betting Offer

Open to ALL Customers – New & Existing web and mobile customers

World Snooker Championship Double Winnings if there is a century in the final frame!

Offer ends 7th May 2018

World Snooker Betting Offer
18+ T&Cs apply. Cash stakes only. Min £10 stake required for initial £5  free bet. Min odds ½. Max £25 in free bets. Subsequent free bets equal 50% average of each 3 qualifying bets. 13 bets required to receive full £25 free bet. Qualifying bet must be placed within 30 days of opening account. Free bet expires after 7 days. Payment method restrictions apply

Applies to single bets on pre-live match betting, offer is available of each match throughout the tournament. one qualifying bet per customer,max stake £/€20 per customer, max Bonus per customer £/€500 free bet. Offer ends on 7th of May 2018

World Snooker Betting Offer

Open to ALL Customers – New & Existing web and mobile customers

World Snooker Championship Double Winnings if there is a century in the final frame!

Offer ends 7th May 2018

World Snooker Betting Offer
18+ T&Cs apply. Cash stakes only. Min £10 stake required for initial £5  free bet. Min odds ½. Max £25 in free bets. Subsequent free bets equal 50% average of each 3 qualifying bets. 13 bets required to receive full £25 free bet. Qualifying bet must be placed within 30 days of opening account. Free bet expires after 7 days. Payment method restrictions apply

Applies to single bets on pre-live match betting, offer is available of each match throughout the tournament. one qualifying bet per customer,max stake £/€20 per customer, max Bonus per customer £/€500 free bet. Offer ends on 7th of May 2018

Please gamble responsibly www.begambleaware.org

T&C’s can be found HERE