French Open Quarter-Final: Andy Murray v Richard Gasquet (2pm, Tuesday)

May 31, 2016 Facebook Twitter LinkedIn Google+ All,Other,Tennis

Back Murray to beat Gasquet with Over 35.5 Games

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Andy Murray to win & over 35.5 games @ 6/4 (2.50) with Skybet

Andy Murray’s run to the French Open quarter-finals hasn’t been without a few dramas along the way, with both of his opening round matches necessitating five sets to see him through.

He’s now scheduled to meet home favourite Richard Gasquet for a place in the last four at Roland Garros.  The head-to-head record favours Murray, who leads 7-3 on that count.  Murray has also won the last three meetings between the pair, including two in 2015.  On each of those three occasions, Gasquet has taken one set of the three played.  He runs Murray close, but the Scot has prevailed on each occasion.

In terms of the French Open, Murray has also had the better of things, winning both matches against Gasquet in 2010 (battling back from two sets down to win in five) and 2012 (recovering from a first set loss to win in four).

Gasquet did account for the much-fancied Kei Nishikori in four sets in the last round, gaining revenge for his loss to the Japanese player at the same stage in the Rome Masters a few weeks earlier.  Nishikori took the third set off Gasquet in the last round, but that’s the only set he’s lost in his four matches in this year’s tournament to date.

Of course it was Murray who went on to win the Rome Masters, defeating Novak Djokovic in the final in straight sets.  That was further evidence of how far his game has progressed on clay in recent years.  

Despite making his debut at the French Open in 2002, Gasquet had never been beyond the 4th round before this year and is now in somewhat uncharted territory.  Despite a lengthy and successful career, his best performances at Grand Slams consist of two semi-final appearances at Wimbledon (including last year’s straight sets defeat to Djokovic) and one at the US Open.  

Everything points to a Murray win, but he can be a notoriously slow starter and Gasquet can certainly take at least one set.  Taking both factors into account, Murray to win with over 35.5 games in the match looks a reasonable shout.  Basically if the match goes to at least four sets and Murray wins that’s a bet that should pay.

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