League Two Tips: Carlisle v Exeter (Sunday, 6.30pm)

May 14, 2017 Facebook Twitter LinkedIn Google+ Football,League Two

Carlisle United host Exeter City in the first leg of the League Two playoff semi-final, after both sides finished level on points in the league.

We take you through our match preview and betting tips for the highly-anticipated match at Brunton Park…

Past Carlisle v Exeter Meetings

Oddly these two sides met on Saturday’s final day of the league season, with Carlisle’s 3-2 triumph at St James Park confirming their spot in the playoffs.

3-2 was also the scoreline for the two’s reverse fixture earlier in the season when once again Keith Curle’s men emerged victorious.

Altogether, the Cumbrians are undefeated in the last four meetings against Exeter.

Carlisle v Exeter Stats

Despite both clubs finishing level on points (71) for the season, Paul Tisdale’s side has a superior goal difference of 18, thanks in part to conceding 12 fewer goals.

Exeter’s away form was much superior to their home record – collecting 42 points on the road, the second best in the division, compared to just 23 at home, the 18th strongest in League Two.

The Blues have also struggled at home this season, winning only 10 of their 23 home fixtures.

Despite finishing level on points, Exeter managed to lose six games more than the Cumbrians, for whom draws were their Achilles heel.

Carlisle v Exeter Team News

Carlisle have a fully fit squad available to chose from.

Craig Woodman and Matt Oakley are both in contention to feature for City having been out with a broken arm and a hip flexor injury respectively. Robbie Simpson will not recover in time from his broken ankle.

Carlisle v Exeter Match Predictions

Carlisle to win 7/5 – Sky Bet, Marathon Bet

Best Carlisle v Exeter Bet

Over 2.5 goals 11/12 – 188 Bet

Reason for Carlisle v Exeter Bets

Inevitably, this will be a tight clash to call due to the nature of both teams having finished tied on points after 46 league matches – they are extremely close in terms of ability.

However, home advantage in each game is vital due to the distance involved for the travelling team and Carlisle will also have the psychological edge having won both league games this season, including the most recent.

For those reasons, a bet of Carlisle to win the encounter at 7/5 is more than reasonable especially considering how the Grecians have lost well over a third (17) of their regulation league matches this campaign.

This is a tie which is expected to have plenty of goals – playoff semi finals by their nature involve more goals, drama and excitement than standard league matches.

Exeter (74) were the second top goalscorers in the division while Carlisle (68) had conceded more goals than any of the top 15 sides.

Odds of 11/12 for three goals or more are worth a punt as they contain excellent value.

Carlisle v Exeter City Match Prediction

Carlisle to win 7/5 – Sky Bet, Marathon Bet

Specific Carlisle v Exeter Bet Prediction

Over 2.5 goals 11/12 – 188 Bet