Free tips Grand National Predictions: Our 2018 Grand National Betting Preview & Tips

Our 2018 Grand National bets underline the modern day class of the race

The Grand National is a once a year institution for fun punters the length and breadth of the British Isles and beyond.

But it has also been a benevolent fund for bookmakers who rub their hands in glee at the prospect of millions of people spending millions of pounds, betting on the Grand National, on each and every one of the 40 Grand National runners for 2018.

But times are changing and nowadays for every pound of recreational Grand National bets there seems to be an equal amount, if not more, of shrewd money from pro Grand National tipsters and form experts.  

The reason for this shift is simple, the Grand National is more of a traditional horse race than ever. If you are a newbie to Grand National betting then check out our Grand National ‘How-To’ Guide here.

Definitely Seeing Red

In fact it now attracts top-class racehorses and the classier the entry the more reliable their form is. Definitly Red, the top-weight in this year’s Grand National race card 2018, is the perfect case in point.

A strong candidate for the forthcoming 2018 Cheltenham Gold Cup, winner of the Grade 2 Cotswold Chase in late January and 10/1 second favourite for last year’s Grand National race (see full 2017 race video below)

Unfortunately, in the 2017 Grand National race Definitly Red was badly hampered and pulled-up with a slipped saddle. However, this nine-year-old horse, who has won over half of his 23 lifetime starts, is simply straight out of the top-drawer.

Video: A video replay of last year’s race won by One For Arthur

Grand National Stats & Trends

Such is the modern day quality of the Grand National runners list, not only is the class of runner better than ever, five of the last nine Grand National winners have carried 11 stone or more.  Furthermore only one of the last 15 winners has carried less than 10st-6lb.

If it wasn’t for the fact that no horse has won the Grand National carrying more that 11st-9lb since Red Rum hauled 12-stone to victory back in 1974, we would be recommending Definitly Red for 2018 Grand National victory.

Narrowing the 2018 Grand National runners

For obvious reasons, and in keeping with recent Grand National trends, we are going to narrow our search for the 2018 Grand National winner to a horse carrying between 10st-6lb and 11st-9lb – furthermore we are looking for a runner aged eight or nine.

Irish, English and even Scottish trained winners have shared the honours in recent times so we will not discriminate country of origin.

As for owners… Gigginstown House Stud, owned by Ryanair CEO Michael O’Leary, has 11 entries in this year’s race while legendary gambler JP. McManus have seven. They have won the race once apiece, McManus in 2010 with Don’t Push it; Gigginstown in 2016 with Rule The World.

Grand National Odds – The price is right

The last nine Grand National winners have been double-digit betting odds and with the average SP (Starting Price) during the last decade being 32.7/1.

This 10-year range includes everything from Grand National betting odds of 100/1 down to just 7/1 (in 2008 when Comply Or Die won as favourite), so you know where we are shopping.

Ultimately this criteria has filled-up most of our jigsaw and amongst the pieces we have left are:  

Minella Rocco – Eight-year-old, who we cannot fancy on the basis of one win from 13 chase starts and a dismal performance when last seen in action.  

Blaklion – fits the bill but he failed to win the Grand National on his first attempt last year and if they don’t do it on their first go, they rarely do it next time.  

Also eject Sub Lieutenant, he’s won three chases but not one was beyond 2m-4f.

Valseur Lido – Another Grand National runner to strike out is Valseur Lido. He may be nine but he has won just one of his last ten chase starts (in November 2016).  Beaten a long way in his three starts during the last 15 months, he looks regressive.

Fly High with Anibale

Anibale Fly, shouldered with a Grand National weight of 11st-4lb is a fascinating contender.  

Classy enough to finish runner-up in the 2017 Champion Novice Chase at the Punchestown Festival, he demolished at 28 runner field at Leopardstown over the Christmas period, jumping for fun, showing stamina in abundance.  And he proved that form was no fluke with an excellent third in the recent Cheltenham Gold Cup.

Should those exertions not have taken too much out of him, he has to have an outstanding chance at Aintree.

Tiger in the tank

However, it is another Irish trained runner that starred at Cheltenham that gets our chief vote.  His name is Tiger Roll and in landing the Cross Country Chase at the start of March, he scored at the Cheltenham Festival for a remarkable third time.

Bred for the flat and with enough speed to win the 2014 Triumph Hurdle, Tiger Roll has also proven his stamina by taking the National Hunt Chase over four miles.  

Trainer Gordon Elliott’s charge is only eight and he is set to carry just 10st-9lb. Given similarities with the 2007 Grand National winner, ‘Silver Birch’, Tiger Roll is nap material.

Grand National Betting Tips

  • Anibale Fly 20/1 each-way (1-2-3-4-5-6 places) Paddy Power
  • Tiger Roll 25/1 each-way (1-2-3-4-5-6 places) Paddy Power

 


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