Free tips Formula One Tips: Abu Dhabi Grand Prix Betting Predictions & Preview (1pm, Sunday)
Mercedes outstanding record in Abu Dhabi makes them unapposable
There have been nine F1 races at the $1 billion Yas Marina Circuit in Abu Dhabi; during which time five drivers have finished on the top step of the podium: Kimi Raikkonen, Lewis Hamilton (three times), Sebastian Vettel (three times), Nico Rosberg and last year’s winner Valtteri Bottas.
Last season Lewis Hamilton was out-qualified by his teammate, Valtteri Bottas by two-tenths of a second, and finished behind the Finn as runner-up at the chequered flag. It was the same story for Hamilton in 2015 when Nico Rosberg claimed pole (by a significant four-tenths of a second) and led home another Mercedes 1-2.
Statistically pole position is not an outstanding advantage at the Yas Marina circuit though. Just four pole setters have gone on to claim the race victory, four winners have started from second and the 2012 winner, Kimi Raikkonen, began in fourth.
But the biggest stat of all is Mercedes dominance at the track. They have started 1-2 in every single race here since 2014 and claimed four race wins including three 1-2 finishes. So how can you oppose Mercedes on Sunday and how is Sebastian Vettel rated favourite – at a top-priced 7/4 with Coral?
It’s unfathomable, especially considering Lewis Hamilton has won seven of the last ten races of the current campaign. But don’t look a gift horse in the mouth and back both Hamilton (9/4 best at Paddy Power) and Valtteri Bottas at a whopping 13/2 with BetVictor or Coral.
Ferrari have contested the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix nine times, but failed to win so far. Time for a change! 🏎️💪
— Scuderia Fans (@ScuderiaFansF1) November 19, 2018
Fernando Alonso for a points finish?
But there are plenty of seemingly over-priced angles to consider this weekend, Fernando Alonso to finish amongst the points (a top-10 finish) at 5/2 (Betfair) being one of them.
The popular Spaniard, who is making his last start in Formula 1, has an excellent record at this venue finishing 7-2-2-5-9-17-10-9 for the most part in an inferior car. That 8-from-9 ‘points finish’ record is complimented with a season record of 9-from-20 in terms of top-10/points finishes.
Other Abu Dhabi F1 bets
Elsewhere, take the 8/11 over at bet365* about there not being a Safety Car – as has been the case here for every race in the past five years and 9/2 (Paddy Power) about Max Verstappen setting the fastest time in the opening practice session.
The Dutch youngster has topped the time-sheets in four of the last six practice sessions and there is no reason for Ferrari or Mercedes to change their recent policy of having their engine power turned right down during the opening practice session.
Abu Dhabi Grand Prix Betting Predictions
Race winner: Lewis Hamilton 9/4 at Paddy Power
Race winner: Valtteri Bottas 13/2 at Coral
Points Finish: Fernando Alonso 5/2 at Betfair
No Safety Car 8/11 at bet365*
Practice 1 winner: Max Verstappen 9/2 at Paddy Power
* Odds correct at the time of writing / Image credit: Rob Alter