Free tips Formula One: Belgium Grand Prix Betting Tips & Predictions
History says a non-winning podium finisher will take Spa’s Fastest Lap
Formula One is back this weekend and our resident F1 betting expert gives you the low down on where the value lies in the Fastest Lap betting market. Read on for his reasoning and Belgium Grand Prix betting tips for Sunday’s race at the high speed Spa circuit…
Sunday’s Belgian Grand Prix is the 13th race of a 21 race season. Consequently we now have a fair idea of what to expect at all types of circuit. The slow ones, like Monaco and Hungary plus the street circuits, such as Australia and Canada, have all seen a Red Bull driver top the time-sheets and claim the accolade of ‘Fastest Lap’.
And with Red Bull claiming six fastest laps during the current campaign, it’s easy to see how the Formula One betting odds compilers have made the mistake of making Daniel Ricciardo and Max Verstappen 7/2 joint-favourites in Sunday’s ‘Fastest Lap’ betting market.
But, before investing your hard-earned consider this: Spa-Francorchamps is a high-speed venue very different to the tracks where Ricciardo & Verstappen have been topping the time sheets. Furthermore their cars have been massively unreliable this year, failing to see the chequered flag eight times.
It’s looking increasingly likely that the #BelgianGP will feature rain ?
Can Kimi grab his 100th podium? Will Vettel overtake Prost’s win record?
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So who are the best bets for the Fastest Lap?
Next up take a look at the form book. It shows Mercedes have been superior here in recent times, starting from pole for the last five years, winning the race for the last three years and bagging three of the last four ‘fastest lap’ awards – Sebastian Vettel, in a Ferrari, netted the ‘prize’ last year.
Still happy to back a Red Bull driver to get the fastest lap award? Of course not, especially as the pair take a combined 44% out of the book.
4/1 one-from-18 Lewis Hamilton’s a bum steer too
As it stands, and the F1 bookmakers have this one right, Lewis Hamilton looks the most likely winner. But the kicker with that theory is race winners inability to additionally bag the fastest lap here. Only twice in the last 11 years (the race was not staged in 2006) has the race winner additionally collected the fastest lap. What’s more Lewis has netted just one fastest lap in his past 18 race starts.
Suffice to say I’m striking Hamilton out of fastest lap calculations too. And given no driver outside of the top three teams has taken a fastest lap this year, only three drivers are left in my calculations.
Choice of three
Ferrari drivers Sebastian Vettel and Kimi Raikkonen have taken a fastest apiece in 2018. Their car is sure to be competitive this weekend and both should have a great shot at the ‘Fastest Lap’. Given Raikkonen never wins, ironically I believe he has the better chance. At 8/1 the Finn has to be one of our Belgium Grand Prix betting predictions this weekend.
But the nap bet is Valtteri Bottas. The Finn has already claimed three fastest laps in 2018 and taken five in his last 17 starts. I believe his car will be the fastest of all this weekend and as Mercedes defined ‘second driver’, he’s more likely to take an all-important podium step which is not the highest one. …the last four ‘fastest lap’ honourees all finished on the podium (but did not win).
Our Belgium Grand Prix Betting Tips & Predictions:
Fastest Lap – Kimi Raikkonen 8/1 William Hill
Fastest Lap – Valtteri Bottas (nap) 6/1 William Hill
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