Free tips Formula One: Belgium Grand Prix Betting Tips & Predictions

History says a non-winning podium finisher will take Spa’s Fastest Lap

Formula One is back this weekend and our resident F1 betting expert gives you the low down on where the value lies in the Fastest Lap betting market. Read on for his reasoning and Belgium Grand Prix betting tips for Sunday’s race at the high speed Spa circuit…

Belgium Grand Prix Betting TipsSunday’s Belgian Grand Prix is the 13th race of a 21 race season.  Consequently we now have a fair idea of what to expect at all types of circuit.  The slow ones, like Monaco and Hungary plus the street circuits, such as Australia and Canada, have all seen a Red Bull driver top the time-sheets and claim the accolade of ‘Fastest Lap’.

And with Red Bull claiming six fastest laps during the current campaign, it’s easy to see how the Formula One betting odds compilers have made the mistake of making Daniel Ricciardo and Max Verstappen 7/2 joint-favourites in Sunday’s ‘Fastest Lap’ betting market.

But, before investing your hard-earned consider this:  Spa-Francorchamps is a high-speed venue very different to the tracks where Ricciardo & Verstappen have been topping the time sheets.  Furthermore their cars have been massively unreliable this year, failing to see the chequered flag eight times.

So who are the best bets for the Fastest Lap?

Next up take a look at the form book.  It shows Mercedes have been superior here in recent times, starting from pole for the last five years, winning the race for the last three years and bagging three of the last four ‘fastest lap’ awards – Sebastian Vettel, in a Ferrari, netted the ‘prize’ last year.

Still happy to back a Red Bull driver to get the fastest lap award?  Of course not, especially as the pair take a combined 44% out of the book.  


4/1 one-from-18 Lewis Hamilton’s a bum steer too

As it stands, and the F1 bookmakers have this one right, Lewis Hamilton looks the most likely winner.  But the kicker with that theory is race winners inability to additionally bag the fastest lap here.  Only twice in the last 11 years (the race was not staged in 2006) has the race winner additionally collected the fastest lap.  What’s more Lewis has netted just one fastest lap in his past 18 race starts.

Suffice to say I’m striking Hamilton out of fastest lap calculations too.  And given no driver outside of the top three teams has taken a fastest lap this year, only three drivers are left in my calculations.


Choice of three

Ferrari drivers Sebastian Vettel and Kimi Raikkonen have taken a fastest apiece in 2018.  Their car is sure to be competitive this weekend and both should have a great shot at the ‘Fastest Lap’.  Given Raikkonen never wins, ironically I believe he has the better chance.  At 8/1 the Finn has to be one of our Belgium Grand Prix betting predictions this weekend.

But the nap bet is Valtteri Bottas. The Finn has already claimed three fastest laps in 2018 and taken five in his last 17 starts.  I believe his car will be the fastest of all this weekend and as Mercedes defined ‘second driver’, he’s more likely to take an all-important podium step which is not the highest one.  …the last four ‘fastest lap’ honourees all finished on the podium (but did not win).


Our Belgium Grand Prix Betting Tips & Predictions:

Fastest Lap – Kimi Raikkonen 8/1 William Hill

Fastest Lap – Valtteri Bottas (nap) 6/1 William Hill



Latest related offers

Horse Racing Exchange – £/€20 Free Bet In Cash

Expires: 12D 06H 44M
New customers only, bet up to £20 on the Exchange and if your first bet loses, we’ll refund you £20 in Cash. Bet must be placed in first 7 days of account opening. T&Cs apply. Payment restrictions apply. T&Cs apply 18+ONLY |BeGambleAware/ Bet Responsibly. This is an advertisement.

Horse Racing Exchange Betting Offer

NEW CUSTOMERS ONLY

  1. Join Open your new account using promo code VAL225.
  2. Bet Place a  £20 bet in your first bet on the Exchange.
  3. Get If the bet loses Betfair will refund you £20 in Cash.

Horse Racing Exchange Betting

Horse Racing Exchange Betting Offer

NEW CUSTOMERS ONLY

  1. Join Open your new account using promo code VAL225.
  2. Bet Place a  £20 bet in your first bet on the Exchange.
  3. Get If the bet loses Betfair will refund you £20 in Cash.

Horse Racing Exchange Betting

Terms and Conditions

Can I take part?

  • You can only take part in this offer if you are not an existing or a previous Betfair account holder.
  • This offer is not available to accounts registered in any of the following countries – Armenia, Portugal, Bulgaria, India, Belarus, Chile, Croatia, Hungary, Latvia, Macedonia, Moldova, Romania, Russia, Serbia, Slovenia, Tunisia, Ukraine, Macau & Taiwan

How and when can I qualify?

  • The first Exchange bet you place within 7 days of registering your new Betfair account can risk up to £20. Your bet must settle in this period too.

What can I win?

  • If you place a qualifying bet as set out above, and that bet loses within 7 days of account opening, we will refund your stake in cash, up to a maximum of £20.

When will I get my prize?

  • We’ll aim to credit your account within 72 hours of your qualifying bet being settled

What else do I need to know?

  • Only deposits made using credit/debits cards and ApplePay will qualify for this promotion.
  • Unmatched, unsettled or voided bets will not count towards this promotion.
  • In the event that two qualifying bets are placed at the same time, the first bet to settle will be your qualifying bet. In the event that your qualifying bet wins, there will be no credit to your account.

Other essential stuff:

  • For Exchange bets, the Exchange rules apply, see here.

This is an advertisement.

Please gamble responsibly www.begambleaware.org

bet365’s ITV Racing 4/1 Offer

Expires: N/A
ITV Racing 4/1 Offer
Back a winner at 4/1 or more and get a risk free bet on the next live ITV race (up to £50) at bet365.
Offer applies to first single bet placed. Applies to Win and Each-Way Fixed Odds markets and Enhanced Place Terms markets only. Bet restrictions and T&Cs apply. New and eligible customers only.

18+ only /BeGambleAware/ Bet Responsibly. This is an advertisement.

bet365 Horse Racing Betting Offers

Available to all new and eligible bet365 customers…

bet365 Horse Racing Betting Offers

Available to all new and eligible bet365 customers…

How it works:

  1. Place a Win or Each Way single bet at odds of 4/1 or more on any horse running in a race televised live on ITV Racing.
  2. If your first single bet on that race wins, you will qualify for a risk free bet to the same stake (up to £50*) on the next race broadcast live on ITV Racing.
  3. Place your risk free bet using existing funds and if the bet loses we will refund your stake (up to £50*).
  4. If your risk free bet also wins at odds of 4/1 or more, you qualify for a risk free bet on the next race televised live on ITV Racing.
    *or currency equivalent
Significant Terms and Conditions
  • This offer is only available to new and eligible customers.
  • This offer applies to the FIRST single bet placed by a customer on each race shown live on ITV Racing.
  • This offer will not apply where a stake has been fully Cashed Out. Where a stake has been partially Cashed Out, any refund amount or subsequent risk free bet amount will be equal to the remaining active stake.
  • If a qualifying bet is edited using our Edit Bet feature, any refund amount will be equal to the new stake and not the original stake. Where a risk free bet is changed using Edit Bet, no refund will be given and the offer will no longer apply.
  • Where more than one selection in the same race is placed on the same bet slip, the first selection is deemed to be the one which is highest on the bet slip.
  • Offer applies to bets placed on Win and Each Way Fixed Odds markets and Enhanced Place Terms markets only. All other markets, including adjusted place terms (Each Way Extra), Ante-Post bets and Tote/Pari-Mutuel/Colossus (bets and dividends), are excluded from this offer.
  • Bets must be placed in the usual way and can be paid for from either your Withdrawable Balance or Bet Credits. Bets placed from your Withdrawable Balance will be refunded to your Withdrawable Balance and bets placed using Bet Credits will be refunded as Bet Credits.
Full Terms and Conditions
Qualifying
  1. This offer is only available to new and eligible customers. You can see a full list of your available offers by logging in and selecting the Offers section on mobile or the Promotions section on desktop. bet365 maintains a record of customer contact in relation to eligibility for offers and this record, including the date and time of any restrictions being imposed, will be final in the event of any dispute.
  2. Offer applies to the FIRST single bet placed by a customer on each race broadcast live on ITV Racing following the final declarations. Where more than one selection in the same race is placed on the same bet slip, the first selection is deemed to be the one which is highest on the bet slip. Offer applies to bets placed on Win and Each Way Fixed Odds markets and Enhanced Place Terms markets only.
  3. Maximum risk free bet amount is £50* per customer, per race. Risk free bet winnings exclude stake. Bets must be placed in the usual way and can be paid for from either your Withdrawable Balance or Bet Credits. If your risk free bet loses, your stake will be refunded to your account within one hour of the race finishing. Bets placed from your Withdrawable Balance will be refunded to your Withdrawable Balance and bets placed with Bet Credits will be refunded as Bet Credits.
  4. In the event of ITV Racing not showing all races live, risk free bets will stand as per the bet365 ITV Racing 4/1 Offer Race Schedule advertised on site.
  5. If you back the winner of the last ITV Racing 4/1 Offer Race on any day, your risk free bet will be the first bet you place on the next ITV Racing 4/1 Offer Race to take place.
  6. If you are entitled to a risk free bet and ITV Racing broadcast an additional race then this will be added to the ITV Racing 4/1 Offer Race Schedule, so your risk free bet will be the first bet you place on this race.
Restrictions
  1. Adjusted place terms (Each Way Extra), Ante-Post bets and Tote/Pari-Mutuel/Colossus (bets and dividends), are excluded from this offer.
  2. Adjusted place terms (Each Way Extra) markets refers to prices which do not match the Win and Each Way market displayed in the Fixed Odds tab on the racecard, either because the price has been taken from the Each Way Extra tab or the place terms for the bet have been adjusted via the bet slip. Bets placed at such terms will not count for this offer.
  3. The 4/1 limit refers to the adjusted odds after any dead-heat, Rule 4 or unnamed joint/co-favourite. If your risk free bet is an Each Way selection that is placed, and the return on the bet is less than the total stake, we will refund the difference between your return and the total stake. If your return is greater than the total stake then no refund will be given.
  4. This offer only includes races broadcast on ITV Racing unless otherwise stated by bet365.
  5. This offer only applies to bets placed via mobile, tablet or desktop. Bets placed using our Telephone Betting service will not qualify for this offer.
  6. Where you are unable to place the maximum risk free bet amount due to restrictions on your bet, we will credit the difference between the maximum risk free bet returns and your actual returns.
  7. This offer will not apply where a stake has been fully Cashed Out. Where a stake has been partially Cashed Out, any refund amount or subsequent risk free bet amount will be equal to the remaining active stake.
  8. If a qualifying bet is edited using our Edit Bet feature, any refund amount will be equal to the new stake and not the original stake. Where a risk free bet is changed using Edit Bet, no refund will be given and the offer will no longer apply.
  9. This offer is only available to customers residing in Great Britain and Republic of Ireland.
General
  1. Where any term of the offer or promotion is breached or there is any evidence of a series of bets placed by a customer or group of customers, which due to enhanced payments, Free Bets, risk free bets, Bet Credits or any other promotional offer results in guaranteed customer profits irrespective of the outcome, whether individually or as part of a group, bet365 may reclaim the enhanced payment, Free Bet, risk free bet or Bet Credit element of such offers and/or void any bet funded by the Free Bet or Bet Credits. In addition, where there is evidence of such activity, bet365 may levy an administration charge on the customer up to the value of the Bet Credits, Free Bet, risk free bet or enhanced payment towards the administrative costs incurred in identifying and taking action against the activity.
  2. bet365 may reclaim any bonus amount, Free Bets, Bet Credits or enhanced payments that have been awarded in error.
  3. All customer offers are limited to one per person. If bet365 has reasonable grounds to suspect that the bonus or offer is being claimed by or for the benefit of the same person more than once or by a group of people then it may withdraw the availability of any offer or all offers to that customer or group of customers and/or void any bet funded by the bonus or offer and remove any winnings from such bet.
  4. bet365 may, at any time, make minor amendments to this promotion to correct typographical errors or to improve on clarity or customer experience and may cancel this promotion for legal or regulatory reasons.
  5. Employees, officers and directors of bet365, its promotional or other agencies, licensees and licensors, service providers and any other associated or affiliated companies shall not be eligible for the promotion. The same terms shall apply to the direct families of such persons. This is an advertisement

This is an advertisement.

Please gamble responsibly www.begambleaware.org