Free tips Championship: Newcastle v Derby Preview and Betting Tips (3pm, Saturday)

Title-chasers Newcastle host play-off hopefuls Derby in a match which pits the Championship’s top scorers against one of the league’s meanest defences.

We take you through our match predictions and betting tips for the vital Championship fixture.


Newcastle v Derby Match Prediction:

Newcastle to win at 8/11 with Bet365


Newcastle v Derby Best Bet:

Newcastle to score in the first-half at 4/5 with Bet365


Newcastle v Derby Past Meetings

Newcastle are on an 11-match home unbeaten streak against Derby – the away side’s last victory at St James’ Park coming back in 1989. The Magpies earned a comfortable 2-0 win in the reverse fixture last September.


Newcastle v Derby Stats

The Magpies have won 9 of 13 league home matches this season, losing the other four. Over 2.5 goals has happened in 69% of their home matches.

Derby have been victorious in five of 13 away league matches this season. Over 2.5 goals has happened in just 23% of games on their travels.


Newcastle Team News

The game could come too soon for top-scorer Dwight Gayle, while Vurnoon Anita remains out with ankle ligament damage. Mohamed Diame and Chancel Mbemba return from international duty.


Derby Team News

James Wilson remains a long-term absentee, due to his ruptured cruciate ligament. Cyrus Christie is close to a return from a fractured foot, but is unlikely to feature in this one.


Reasons for Newcastle v Derby betting tips

The Championship title race doesn’t look like easing up any time soon, with Newcastle and Brighton yo-yoing at the top the table. Whilst the Magpies boast the league’s best away record, their home form hasn’t been quite as impressive.

There’s no doubting that they’re not short of goals. They’ve managed three or more in four of the last five matches at St James’. On the other hand, they’ve also conceded in 69% of home fixtures this season.

Whilst the game against Derby will likely come too soon for top-scorer Dwight Gayle, ex-Sunderland striker Daryl Murphy should lead the line once more. He’s proven to be a shrewd addition, especially given the drop in form of Serbian Aleksandar Mitrovic.

The title-chaser’s opponents Derby may have one of the meanest defences in the league, but more recently they’ve been prone to conceding. They’re six games without a clean sheet, and shipped three goals against Norwich in a recent away display.

You’d expect them to have a go at Newcastle, especially if they have serious hopes of ending the season in the play-off spots. Nevertheless, the Magpies’ current home goal glut and necessity to keep winning, makes it hard to look past a home win. Newcastle are also the favourites with the bookies and can be backed at 8/11 with Bet365.

It’s also worth noting that Newcastle have been quick off the mark in recent matches. They’ve scored their first goal in the first-half of six of the last seven matches in all competitions. Derby meanwhile have conceded a first-half goal in their last five matches in all competitions. Back Newcastle to score in the first-half at 4/5 with Bet365.


Newcastle v Derby Match Prediction:

Newcastle to win at 8/11 with Bet365


Newcastle v Derby Best Bet:

Newcastle to score in first-half at 4/5 with Bet365


Latest related offers

bet365’s ITV Racing 4/1 Offer

Expires: N/A
18+ ITV Racing 4/1 Offer - Back a winner at 4/1 or more and get a risk free bet on the next live ITV race (up to £50) at bet365. Offer applies to first single bet placed. Applies to Win and Each-Way Fixed Odds markets and Enhanced Place Terms markets only. Bet restrictions and T&Cs apply. New and eligible customers only. BeGambleAware/

bet365 Horse Racing Betting Offers

Available to all new and eligible bet365 customers…

One of the best bet365 horse racing betting offers is their live ITV Racing promotion – Back any single winner at 4/1 or more on any race televised live on ITV Racing (or ITV4) and you can have a risk free bet to the same stake (up to £50*) on the next race broadcast live on ITV Racing.

This offer applies to the FIRST single bet placed by a customer on each race shown live on ITV Racing.

If your risk free bet also wins at odds of 4/1 or more, you qualify for another risk free bet on the next race televised live on ITV Racing. Keep backing those winners and bet365 will keep giving you risk free bets!

Place your next bets in the usual way and if it loses your stake (up to £50*) will be refunded to your account as cash.

Click the Details+ button for more information & full terms and conditions.

bet365 horse racing betting offers
*or currency equivalent, 18+T&Cs apply/GambleAware. Only available to new and eligible customers.

bet365 Horse Racing Betting Offers

Available to all new and eligible bet365 customers…

One of the best bet365 horse racing betting offers is their live ITV Racing promotion – Back any single winner at 4/1 or more on any race televised live on ITV Racing (or ITV4) and you can have a risk free bet to the same stake (up to £50*) on the next race broadcast live on ITV Racing.

This offer applies to the FIRST single bet placed by a customer on each race shown live on ITV Racing.

If your risk free bet also wins at odds of 4/1 or more, you qualify for another risk free bet on the next race televised live on ITV Racing. Keep backing those winners and bet365 will keep giving you risk free bets!

Place your next bets in the usual way and if it loses your stake (up to £50*) will be refunded to your account as cash.

Click the Details+ button for more information & full terms and conditions.

bet365 horse racing betting offers
*or currency equivalent, 18+T&Cs apply/GambleAware. Only available to new and eligible customers.

This offer will not apply where a stake has been fully Cashed Out. Where a stake has been partially Cashed Out, any refund amount or subsequent risk free bet amount will be equal to the remaining active stake. If a qualifying bet is edited using our Edit Bet feature, any refund amount will be equal to the new stake and not the original stake. Where a risk free bet is changed using Edit Bet, no refund will be given and the offer will no longer apply.

Where more than one selection in the same race is placed on the same bet slip, the first selection is deemed to be the one which is highest on the bet slip. Offer applies to bets placed on Win and Each-Way Fixed Odds markets and Enhanced Place Terms markets only. All other markets, including adjusted place terms (Each Way Extra), Ante-Post bets and Tote/Pari-Mutuel (bets and dividends), are excluded from this offer.

Bets must be placed in the usual way and can be paid for from either your Withdrawable Balance or Bet Credits. Bets placed from your Withdrawable Balance will be refunded to your Withdrawable Balance and bets placed with Bet Credits will be refunded as Bet Credits.

Please gamble responsibly www.begambleaware.org

bet365 Bore Draw Moneyback

Expires: N/A
18+ Bore Draw Money Back - Refund for any Soccer game that finishes 0-0 at bet365. Applies to losing pre-match bets on any Correct Score, Half-Time/Full-Time or Scorecast markets. Bet restrictions and T&Cs apply. New and eligible customers only. BeGambleAware/

bet365 Betting Offer

NEW AND ELIGIBLE CUSTOMERS ONLY

Place a pre-match bet on ANY of bet365’s Correct Score, Half-Time/Full-Time or Scorecast markets for ANY Soccer match, and if the game finishes 0-0, your stake will be refunded if your bet loses.

This offer will not apply where a stake has been fully Cashed Out. Where a stake has been partially Cashed Out, and the match finishes 0-0, only the remaining active stake will be refunded. If a qualifying bet is edited using the Edit Bet feature prior to kick-off and the match finishes 0-0, only the new stake will be refunded. Where a bet has been edited to include or amend a selection for an event that is In-Play, the offer will no longer apply.

Bets placed from your Withdrawable Balance will be refunded to your Withdrawable Balance and bets placed with Bet Credits will be refunded as Bet Credits.

T&Cs apply.  See below in details

bet365 Betting Offer

NEW AND ELIGIBLE CUSTOMERS ONLY

Place a pre-match bet on ANY of bet365’s Correct Score, Half-Time/Full-Time or Scorecast markets for ANY Soccer match, and if the game finishes 0-0, your stake will be refunded if your bet loses.

This offer will not apply where a stake has been fully Cashed Out. Where a stake has been partially Cashed Out, and the match finishes 0-0, only the remaining active stake will be refunded. If a qualifying bet is edited using the Edit Bet feature prior to kick-off and the match finishes 0-0, only the new stake will be refunded. Where a bet has been edited to include or amend a selection for an event that is In-Play, the offer will no longer apply.

Bets placed from your Withdrawable Balance will be refunded to your Withdrawable Balance and bets placed with Bet Credits will be refunded as Bet Credits.

T&Cs apply.  See below in details

Terms and Conditions
  1. In multiple bets the selection will be treated as a non-runner.
  2. This offer is only available to new and eligible customers. You can see a full list of your available offers by logging in and selecting the Offers section on mobile or the Promotions section on desktop. bet365 maintains a record of customer contact in relation to eligibility for offers and this record, including the date and time of any restrictions being imposed, will be final in the event of any dispute.
  3. This offer is available pre-match on every game for Half Time/Full Time, all Correct Score and all Scorecast markets. If the game finishes 0-0, we will refund your stake if the bet loses.
  4. This offer will not apply where a stake has been fully Cashed Out. Where a stake has been partially Cashed Out, and the match finishes 0-0, only the remaining active stake will be refunded.
  5. Bets placed from your Withdrawable Balance will be refunded to your Withdrawable Balance and bets placed using Bet Credits will be refunded as Bet Credits.
  6. If a qualifying bet is edited using our Edit Bet feature prior to kick-off and the match finishes 0-0, only the new stake will be refunded. Where a bet has been edited to include or amend a selection for an event that is In-Play, the offer will no longer apply.
  7. Where this offer is applied in conjunction with a Bet Builder bet, and the match finishes 0-0, the stake of the Bet Builder bet will be refunded if one of the selections in the bet is a Correct Score or Half-Time/Full-Time market.
  8. Where any term of the offer or promotion is breached or there is any evidence of a series of bets placed by a customer or group of customers, which due to enhanced payments, Free Bets, risk free bets, Bet Credits or any other promotional offer results in guaranteed customer profits irrespective of the outcome, whether individually or as part of a group, bet365 may reclaim the enhanced payment, Free Bet, risk free bet or Bet Credit element of such offers and/or void any bet funded by the Free Bet or Bet Credits. In addition, where there is evidence of such activity, bet365 may levy an administration charge on the customer up to the value of the Bet Credits, Free Bet, risk free bet or enhanced payment towards the administrative costs incurred in identifying and taking action against the activity.
  9. bet365 may reclaim any bonus amount, Free Bets, Bet Credits or enhanced payments that have been awarded in error.
  10. bet365 may, at any time, make minor amendments to this promotion to correct typographical errors or to improve on clarity or customer experience and may cancel this promotion for legal or regulatory reasons.
  11. Employees, officers and directors of bet365, its promotional or other agencies, licensees and licensors, service providers and any other associated or affiliated companies shall not be eligible for the promotion. The same terms shall apply to the direct families of such persons.

Please gamble responsibly www.begambleaware.org