Free tips Championship: Newcastle v Derby Preview and Betting Tips (3pm, Saturday)

Title-chasers Newcastle host play-off hopefuls Derby in a match which pits the Championship’s top scorers against one of the league’s meanest defences.

We take you through our match predictions and betting tips for the vital Championship fixture.


Newcastle v Derby Match Prediction:

Newcastle to win at 8/11 with Bet365


Newcastle v Derby Best Bet:

Newcastle to score in the first-half at 4/5 with Bet365


Newcastle v Derby Past Meetings

Newcastle are on an 11-match home unbeaten streak against Derby – the away side’s last victory at St James’ Park coming back in 1989. The Magpies earned a comfortable 2-0 win in the reverse fixture last September.


Newcastle v Derby Stats

The Magpies have won 9 of 13 league home matches this season, losing the other four. Over 2.5 goals has happened in 69% of their home matches.

Derby have been victorious in five of 13 away league matches this season. Over 2.5 goals has happened in just 23% of games on their travels.


Newcastle Team News

The game could come too soon for top-scorer Dwight Gayle, while Vurnoon Anita remains out with ankle ligament damage. Mohamed Diame and Chancel Mbemba return from international duty.


Derby Team News

James Wilson remains a long-term absentee, due to his ruptured cruciate ligament. Cyrus Christie is close to a return from a fractured foot, but is unlikely to feature in this one.


Reasons for Newcastle v Derby betting tips

The Championship title race doesn’t look like easing up any time soon, with Newcastle and Brighton yo-yoing at the top the table. Whilst the Magpies boast the league’s best away record, their home form hasn’t been quite as impressive.

There’s no doubting that they’re not short of goals. They’ve managed three or more in four of the last five matches at St James’. On the other hand, they’ve also conceded in 69% of home fixtures this season.

Whilst the game against Derby will likely come too soon for top-scorer Dwight Gayle, ex-Sunderland striker Daryl Murphy should lead the line once more. He’s proven to be a shrewd addition, especially given the drop in form of Serbian Aleksandar Mitrovic.

The title-chaser’s opponents Derby may have one of the meanest defences in the league, but more recently they’ve been prone to conceding. They’re six games without a clean sheet, and shipped three goals against Norwich in a recent away display.

You’d expect them to have a go at Newcastle, especially if they have serious hopes of ending the season in the play-off spots. Nevertheless, the Magpies’ current home goal glut and necessity to keep winning, makes it hard to look past a home win. Newcastle are also the favourites with the bookies and can be backed at 8/11 with Bet365.

It’s also worth noting that Newcastle have been quick off the mark in recent matches. They’ve scored their first goal in the first-half of six of the last seven matches in all competitions. Derby meanwhile have conceded a first-half goal in their last five matches in all competitions. Back Newcastle to score in the first-half at 4/5 with Bet365.


Newcastle v Derby Match Prediction:

Newcastle to win at 8/11 with Bet365


Newcastle v Derby Best Bet:

Newcastle to score in first-half at 4/5 with Bet365


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