Free tips Cheltenham Betting Tips: Sam Spinner to solve The Stayers Hurdle Puzzle? (Day 3)
The Stayers Hurdle Betting Preview & Tips
The Stayers Hurdle, showcase race of Day 3 at the Cheltenham Festival, is the most open of the four main Championship Cheltenham races.
The three mile stayers classic has been won by some fantastic champions like multiple winners Baracouda, Inglis Drever and Big Bucks but no such outstanding horse appears to be in this year’s line-up …at this point!
Indeed, unlike 2014 when the lightly raced More of That and 2016 when the rapidly improving Thistlecrack scored, many of those at the head of the Stayers Hurdle betting in 2018 have plenty of miles on the clock.
The Irish trained Supasundae is likely to go off the Stayers Hurdle betting favourite following his defeat of Faugheen at Leopardstown in February. But there’s every chance Faugheen under-performed that day, the trip was only two miles and the victory was only the fourth of Supasundae’s 13-race career over hurdles. This is not a CV which jumps out at you.
New Customers can get Supasundae at an enhanced 66/1 to win the Stayers Hurdle. Max Stake £1. Winnings paid in free bets, valid for 7 days, only deposits with cards/Paypal count. Exchange and multiple bets excluded. T&C’s Apply. 18+|Gamble Aware.
Apple of anyone’s eye
Conversely Apple’s Jade, trained by last year’s leading Cheltenham Festival trainer, Gordon Elliott, has all the right credentials. Ten wins and four seconds in a 14-race career, successful last time out on her first and only attempt at three miles and defeating Supasundae in the process.
The main problem… Apples Jade is a mare and connections may choose to run her in the considerably easier assignment which is the Mares Hurdle. She is odds-on for that race with every online bookmaker.
There are similar alternatives for other horses towards the head of the betting on the Stayers Hurdle. Faugheen is likely to stay at two-miles are attempt to land a second Champion Hurdle while Yanworth, as short as 6/1 in the Stayers Hurdle betting odds (at the time of writing), is likely to run in a handicap chase at the Festival instead.
Nothing New with seven time One
So, among those that are confirmed by connections as ‘taking their place in the field’ we like two. Firstly the incredibly talented, tough and versatile The New One.
In what will be his seventh visit to the Cheltenham Festival, the Nigel Twiston-Davies trained horse will also be racing over two-miles six-furlongs for the first time in his career.
This lack of form over this extended distance did not stop last year’s victor, Nichols Canyon, and if it were not for his age – The New One is 10 and it has been 30 years since any horse over nine has won this race – we would make him our nap section.
In a Spin
But common sense says we have to go with the lightly raced and clearly improving Sam Spinner.
The six year old has shown gradual improvement throughout his seven hurdle starts culminating with a near three length victory in Ascot’s Long Walk Hurdle in December. (see video replay below)
Best Betting Guide
This three-mile race is unquestionably the best betting guide to solving the Stayers Hurdle race and it is the route Thistlecrack took to Cheltenham Festival glory in 2016. Big Bucks, Baracouda and My Way de Solzen did the same before that.
Sam Spinner is currently trading at Cheltenham betting odds of around 5/1 which makes him a viable each-way play. If he were prepared by a higher profile stable he would surely be a lot shorter in the betting. But Jedd O’Keeffe has done nothing wrong with this horse and he may yet be a superstar in the making.
Recommended Stayers Hurdle Bets:
- THE NEW ONE (each way) 14/1 with Betfair (Top bet)
- SAM SPINNER (each way) 5/1 with BlackType