Free tips UFC246: Conor McGregor v Cerrone Betting Tips & Predictions (Saturday 18th January)
McGregor Vs Cerrone – The Return of the Notorious One
When Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone steps into the UFC octagon for the UFC 246 main event on Saturday 18th of January, it will be his 50th fight as a professional mixed martial artist.
Scroll below to find our our UFC246 betting preview and Conor McGregor v Cerrone betting tips…
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McGregor Vs Cerrone Betting Odds
Conor McGregor is a general 1/3 chance for his return to MMA, but Unibet are going out on a limb and offering very tempting odds of 11/25 (1.44) at the time of writing. Donald Cerrone is available to back at odds of 5/2 with most big firms, with slightly better odds of 13/5 (3.60) available over at Bet Victor.
As always with MMA and the UFC in particular, you never can trust the odds too much as anything can and does happen. However, Conor McGregor is certainly the favourite to win this one despite not having a UFC win since 2016.
Enhanced Odds from Boylesports
Conor McGregor Biggest UFC Wins
- On 11th of July 2015, McGregor won the UFC 145lb interim title with a second round stoppage over Chad Mendes.
- In December of 2015, McGregor stunned the world with a 13 second knock-out punch over the great Jose Aldo to unify the division.
- In August of 2016, McGregor wins a majority decision over Nate Diaz at 170lb, gaining revenge after a submission loss to Diaz after the Aldo fight.
- UFC 205, 12th of November 2016 – McGregor puts on the performance of his life to beat Eddie Alvarez and become the first ever two-weight World Champion.
Donald Cerrone: Off The UFC Record
- Most wins in UFC history (23)
- Most finishes in UFC history (16)
- Most post-fight bonuses in UFC history (18)
- Most knockdowns in UFC history (20)
- Never won a UFC title but is a perpetual gatekeeper at 155lb & 170lb
Conor McGregor v Cerrone Betting Tips – Who will win?
The simple answer is Conor McGregor, but it’s not that simple. Donald Cerrone also has the most head kick victories, amongst the most submission victories in UFC history. He is as legit a martial artist as it comes. If McGregor is in any way under-cooked in his prep for this outing, Cowboy will punish him, especially at 170lb.
For McGregor, this is all about mindset. All of the social media content around the McGregor camp suggests that he is in the right mental place for this return to competitive action. He looks in outstanding physical shape and appears to be over his personal problems.
If he’s anywhere near his best, Cerrone will struggle to cope with McGregor’s accuracy with the left hand. McGregor will keep this fight at range and look to dominate air space in the stand-up position. Cerrone is not always the most mobile of targets and McGregor’s southpaw style will only make him easier to hit.
What would slow the pace down in Cerrone’s favour is if he made a fast start and landed a good early shot or two, gaining McGregor’s respect and slowing him down in the process. If McGregor is able to establish range early on, this could be a one-sided spectacle.
Conor McGregor v Cerrone Betting Tips – Best Bets
The 1/2 available with Ladbrokes may not last, but the price is worth taking if you can get it for the straight McGregor win. The value may lie in the alternative betting markets, such as “Round Betting”. Here, you will find interesting odds of 12/1 at William Hill about Conor McGregor winning the fight in Round 3.
In the first two rounds, McGregor will be trying to establish full composure and control over the pace and range of this fight. The first couple of rounds could even develop into a phoney war if Cerrone too plays the quiet game. With this in mind, the fight could begin to warm up in round three, when McGregor has registered the openings he feels are there and settled into the bout. If McGregor can start breaking down Cerrone by upping the forward pressure rate in this round, the fight could be over quickly.