Free tips EFL Cup Tips: Liverpool v Leeds United Prediction (7.45pm, Tuesday)
Take Liverpool to beat Leeds United with Under 3.5 Goals
Liverpool to win & Under 3.5 Goals @ 13/10 (2.30) with Betway
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Liverpool matches against Leeds United were once amongst the most eagerly anticipated and competitive top-flight fixtures in the game, but it’s now a dozen years since the Yorkshire club were mixing it at the highest level of the domestic game. That absence should ensure that this quarter-final tie will have an added edge.
Liverpool played what was effectively a second team in beating Tottenham Hotspur 2-1 at Anfield in the last round, although the Londoners did likewise in fairness. However, in the previous round, Jurgen Klopp selected a stronger team for the away tie with Derby County, which resulted in a comprehensive 3-0 victory. One would suspect that this team will also be reasonably strong.
Leeds’ run to the last eight has featured two penalty shoot-out wins, with them having seen off League One Fleetwood Town in the 1st round and Norwich City in the 4th round via spot-kicks. In between they’ve beaten Luton Town and Blackburn Rovers, both with 1-0 victories.
There’s less choice in terms of player selection for Leeds boss Garry Monk given the relatively small squad at his disposal and the possibility of reaching a domestic cup semi-final ensures that he will send out what will probably be his strongest available team anyway.
There have been some positive signs for Leeds this season under Monk and a promotion push is certainly possible, although they still look a little short of being genuine contenders as things stand.
The teams only meeting since Leeds were demoted from the top-flight was in the League Cup back in 2009, when a David N’Gog goal midway through the second-half secured a 1-0 win for Liverpool at Elland Road in the 3rd round of the competition.
With no European distractions this season, the domestic cup competitions take on greater meaning for Liverpool than they may have done otherwise. Even so, best odds of 1/5 look very short for Liverpool to win in 90-minutes given the uncertainty over their starting line-up, which is sure to be missing a few first choice attacking players.
That being the case, a Liverpool win with under 3.5 goals looks the value punt.