Free tips F1 Betting Tips: Australian Grand Prix (Sunday, 5am)
The 2017 Formula 1 Season Starts in Australia
Twelve months ago the Ferrari team arrived in Melbourne, Australia, looking like the car to beat in the forthcoming Formula 1 season. At the very least it was the team that was going to give the Mercedes the most to worry about. It had topped the time-sheets in winter testing after all.
But those flash testing times proved to be an illusion and not only didn’t Ferrari win a single one of the 21 Grand Prix races which made up the 2016 season, it also finished third in the Constructor’s Championship behind bother Mercedes and Red Bull.
A year on we are back in familiar territory. The Italian team appeared to be majestic in Barcelona during eight days of testing at the Spanish track and not only did they show speed, they displayed more reliability than ever before. In total their cars completed 2,459 laps (or 4,450 miles).
So the big question is… are Ferrari the real deal this year and can we believe those test times?
Well, with new regulations coming into force in 2017, there is every reason to believe they may well have found the key to break Mercedes domination of the sport.
The lower sleeker looking cars with wider tyres that the 2017 regulations have demanded will be between three and five seconds a lap faster than those which graced the tracks least season. It is therefore a massive change in car design and it is entirely possible Ferrari have adapted to the deviations better than their rivals.
But, even if Mercedes have been sandbagging, Ferrari’s No. 1 driver, Sebastian Vettel, remains a knocking Formula 1 bet for the title at 4/1 each-way. That’s because they are considerably quicker than the Red Bull team who are not renowned for disguising their true pace during testing.
With no other team having a realistic chance of battling for race winning honours, we believe Sebastian Vettel will either win the Championship or finish third to Lewis Hamilton and his new teammate, Valtteri Bottas, with Daniel Ricciardo, Max Verstappen and Kimi Raikkonen in behind.
Lance could win in a Stroll
There’s a few other interesting season-long angles particularly on the team-mates match-up markets. As Felipe Massa has not finished ahead of a teammate in eight seasons there is little reason to back him to buck the trend this year.
His 2017 teammate, Lance Stroll, may be a rookie but he won the 2014 Italian F4 championship, the 2015 Toyota Racing Series and last year, in winning 14 of the season’s 30 races, he claimed the Formula 3 Championship. At Ladbrokes 3/1 he is an irresistible F1 bet.
Similarly Stoffel Vandoorne is value at SkyBet’s 5/2 to accumulate more points for his McLaren team than Fernando Alonso. The McLaren car with a Honda engine looked very slow in pre-season practice and if it proves to be incapable of making a meaningful impact on proceedings by mid-season many believe Alonso will walk from the sport.
If he does Vandoorne will surely accumulate more points making the bet a winner. If Alonso does see out all of the season’s 20 races it’s still no certainty he will outscore Vandoorne. In 2015 Alonso scored less points than then teammate Jenson Button let us not forget.
Vettel to win Sunday’s Race?
As for this weekend, and for all the reasons set out above, we are going to recommend a win bet on Sebastian Vettel at 7/2. If you are an each-way bettor don’t go to Sportingbet with this one incidentally. They are going just 1-2 with their each-way terms.
If you have an account with Bwin avail of some of their 11/10 about the pole setter winning the race. This is a huge price considering the fastest car/driver combinations generally start on pole in all races, not to mention 13 of last season’s 21 race winners started from the front.