Free tips FA Cup: Chelsea v Brentford Preview and Betting Tips (3pm, Saturday)
It’s a West London derby at Stamford Bridge on Saturday as Premier League leaders Chelsea welcome Championship side Brentford in Saturday’s FA Cup 4th round clash.
We take you through our predictions and betting tips for one of the most intriguing ties of the 4th round FA Cup draw.
Chelsea v Brentford Past Meetings
Despite only being separated by a few miles, these sides have met only twice over the past seventy years, with both fixtures coming at this exact stage of the FA Cup four years ago – back then the London Blues needed a replay to progress past the stubborn Bees. Marcello Trotta and a Harry Forrester penalty twice gave the hosts the lead at Griffin Park before Oscar and Fernando Torres pegged Brentford back late on. Goals from Juan Mata, Oscar, Frank Lampard and John Terry gave Rafael Benitez’s men a victory in the replay.
Chelsea v Brentford Stats
Chelsea have won 17 of their last 19 fixtures and each of their last nine at Stamford Bridge, while Brentford are not having such a strong season – they’ve won only seven of their last 24 league outings and have lost each of the last two.
Chelsea v Brentford Team News
Antonio Conte has no fitness concerns for his side ahead of the encounter, with a fully fit squad to chose from. Expect many fringe players to play a part with the likes of Asmir Begovic, John Terry, Branislav Ivanovic, Michy Batshuayi and Nathaniel Chalobah all likely to feature.
Long-term absentees Alan Judge and Rico Henry are the only two players not available for Dean Smith.
Chelsea v Brentford Match Predictions
Chelsea to win 21/100 – Marathon Bet
Chelsea v Brentford Best Bet
Over 3.5 goals 23/20 – Marathon Bet
Reasons for Chelsea v Brentford betting tips
It’s impossible to look beyond a home win for this one, with the odds reflecting the fact that Chelsea doing anything other than dispensing with their West London neighbours with ease would represent a bit of a shock.
The London Blues are in full flow at the moment and are churning out victories even when not playing well, and scoring a few goals in the process.
There are no positive odds on Chelsea leading at both half time and full time either, again showing that the value lies in how many Conte’s side will get.
It is reasonable to predict there will be four goals or more in this one – Brentford’s games are reasonably high scoring this season (69 have flown in at both ends in their 27 league fixtures, over 2.5 per match) and it’s likely that Chelsea will attempt to win the game quickly, in a similar fashion to their victory over Peterborough United in the 3rd round.
Whilst the hosts are likely to score at least three, there’s an excellent chance that – as like Posh – they will get a goal. Why? They have goalscoring threats on the pitch, Chelsea will likely field an altered defence and are likely to be below full concentration levels due to the relative low-key nature of the game and that they could well be comfortably ahead, 23/20 is value that over 3.5 goals will go in here.