Free tips FA Cup: Southampton v Arsenal Preview and Betting Tips (5.30pm, Saturday)
Southampton host Arsenal in what is arguably the tie of FA Cup 4th round as based on current Premier League standings, it’s eleventh hosting second.
We take you through our predictions and betting tips for the fixture at St. Mary’s.
Southampton v Arsenal Match Predictions
Southampton to win 13/5 – bet365
Southampton v Arsenal Best Bet
Under 2.5 goals 11/10 – Paddy Power
Southampton v Arsenal Past Meetings
Somewhat surprisingly, the Saints have the better of this fixture in recent seasons – they’ve won four of the previous seven clashes and have only failed to keep a clean sheet once in the past five fixtures. They dumped Arsenal out of the League Cup at the Emirates for the second time in three seasons in their most recent meeting.
The Gunners have failed to win in their last five trips to the South Coast and have lost the last two by an aggregate score line of 6-0.
Southampton v Arsenal Stats
Only two teams have beaten Arsenal by more than three goals since March 2014 – Bayern Munich and Southampton. Unfortunately for Arsene Wenger, those two teams could end his side’s ambitions in all three cup competitions this term.
Saints lost successive Premier League home games in December for the first time since 2014 and their league games this season have produced a league-low 18 first-half goals (nine for, nine against).
Southampton v Arsenal Team News
Charlie Austin, Jeremy Pied and Matt Targett are all month’s away from a return to fitness while Sofiane Boufal, Steve Davis and Virgil van Dijk will all have to undergo late fitness tests.
Santi Cazorla is a long-term absentee for Arsenal while their midfield is further weakened by Mohamed Elneny’s absence at the African Cup of Nations and Granit Xhaka’s suspension. Theo Walcott, Per Mertesacker and Mathieu Debuchy will also miss out for the Gunners.
Reason for Southampton v Arsenal betting tips
Take aside their two home league defeats over Christmas – which came during an injury crisis and in the most tightly-packed Christmas schedule of any English side – Southampton have lost only one home game in eleven (to the irrestible Chelsea) and conceded only five goals in those fixtures – less than one every two games.
Claude Puel’s side are resilient, well-drilled and hard to break down, while recent home victories over Liverpool, Norwich and Leicester to nil show this game will be low scoring, not to mention Arsenal’s recent record of defeats and failing to find the net at this ground.
Arsenal are susceptible away from home too – as was shown in the poor manner of defeats at Everton and Man City and rocky fixtures against Bournemouth and Preston.