Free tips Formula One Tips: Italian Grand Prix Betting Predictions

Sebastian Vettel can claim pole in Monza and win the race, but not by far

Forget the race winner, pole setter, podium finish and all other conventional markets when looking at the weekend’s F1 race from Monza, Italy. Simply head straight to the ‘winning margin’ market and ‘go low’.  Our F1 betting experts identifies where he thinks the best value in his Italian Grand Prix betting predictions and best bets below…

William Hill are going 5/6 about the race winner having a buffer of less than 5.5 sec, just like it has been in six of the last nine races here.  Furthermore, the 2004 and 2005 Italian GP’s were won by 2.6 and 1.3 sec and 2007 saw Fernando Alonso score by 6.0sec. In short, winners here do not win by far; it is motorsports equivalent to Leopardstown.

Safety In Numbers

Another feature of the Monza circuit is its lack of incidents and accidents.  Resultantly finishing numbers are always high and safety car appearances low. There’s not been a safety car required here in six years, so you have to like BetStars 11/10 about that sequence continuing.

And only once in the last 13 years has less than 16 cars been classified as ‘finishers’ at Monza. bet365* are only 8/11 about 15.5 or more finishers on Sunday but William Hill are offering a huge 6/4 (2.50) about the same scenario – go shopping there.

Seb again

Italian Grand Prix Betting PredictionsOf course most people are happy with simply pinpointing the race winner and that should not take too much identifying.  

Sebastian Vettel won last weekend’s Belgian GP in a common canter, and with both circuits being high-speed (low downforce) venues, he should do so again and is included in our Italian Grand Prix betting predictions.

In fact the history books show overwhelming evidence of Belgian GP winners scoring again here just a week later.  Since 2011t he winner of the Belgian has scored again here at Monza five times.

Do The Treble

Eleven of the last 14 Italian GP race winners have started on pole, so in a back-to-front scenario it’s easy to envisage Vettel taking pole beforehand.  And that makes bet365’s 7/2 about ‘any driver’ doing the ‘treble’ (which is fastest lap, pole and race win) tantalising.

In 2014 and 2015 Lewis Hamilton did that treble as did Fernando Alonso in 2007 and 2010. That’s a four from eleven strike-rate which makes 7/2 a value Formula One betting proposition over at bet365*.

Italian Grand Prix Betting Predictions:

  • Race Winning Margin – Under 5.5 seconds at 5/6 with William Hill
  • Safety Car – No at 11/10 with BetStars
  • Total Finishers – Over 15.5 at 6/4 with William Hill
  • Race Winner – Sebastian Vettel at 20/21 with BetStars
  • Any driver to claim Fastest Lap, Pole Position and Race Win at 7/2 with bet365*

* Odds correct at the time of writing


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