Free tips La Liga: Villarreal v Valencia prediction (7.45pm, Saturday)
VILLARREAL VS VALENCIA PREVIEW, BETTING TIPS AND PREDICTIONS
Saturday 21st January 19:45, Estadio de la Cerámica. Live on Sky Sports 3.
VILLARREAL VS VALENCIA PREDICTIONS
MATCH RESULT & TOTAL GOALS OVER/ UNDER PREDICTION:
Villarreal & Over 1.5 Goals at 13/10 with Betfred
VILLARREAL TOTAL GOALS UNDER/OVER PREDICTION:
Over 1.5 Goals at 19/20 with Coral
REASONS FOR VILLARREAL VS VALENCIA BETTING TIPS
It’s the Derby de la Comunitat in La Liga on Saturday evening between Villarreal and Valencia, with both teams having something to prove.
Villarreal had an impressive start to the season, but they’ve now gone five matches in all competitions since their last victory. They’ve only lost once in that period and three of those games were in the Copa del Rey, so they are only three points off a Champions League place.
It’s been a far less impressive campaign to date for Valencia, who sit just one place and four points above the relegation zone, despite recording a much-needed 2-1 win at home to Espanyol last weekend. The problems go well beyond the players on the pitch though and self-belief is fragile in the camp.
The big difference between these teams is their respective defensive capabilities. Villarreal have the best defensive record in La Liga at present, having conceded a total of just 12 goals in 18 matches. By contrast, Valencia have leaked 33 goals in 17 matches and have actually conceded in every single game in all competitions this season.
Those stats, added to the league standings, make the 10/11 available with William Hill for Villarreal to win this match look like pretty decent value. The draw is 11/4 with Sportingbet and Valencia are 10/3 with Betfair.
For a little additional value at what should be relatively little extra risk should you fancy Villarreal, they can be backed in the Match Result & Total Goals Over/Under market at 13/10 with Betfred to win with Over 1.5 Goals in the match.
With Valencia so porous at the back, it’s difficult to believe that Villarreal won’t find the back of the net and they can be backed at 19/20 with Coral to do so at least twice, which looks fairly likely.
Villarreal have won six of their nine home games to date, in five of which they were also ahead at the interval. Villarreal/ Villarreal can be backed in the Half-time/ Full-time Double Result market at 21/10 with Betfair.
For an Anytime Goalscorer, Sansome is available at 21/10 with Titanbet, whilst Valencia’s Nani can be backed at 4/1 with 888sport.
VILLARREAL VS VALENCIA STATS
Villarreal are only averaging exactly 2.00 goals per game (GPG) at the Estadio de la Cerámica this season, whilst conceding at a rate of 0.67 GPG. Valencia’s away goal count stands at 1.44 GPG, whilst conceding at a rate of 1.78 GPG.
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) has occurred in 44% of Villarreal’s home La Liga matches this season and in a ridiculously high 89% of Valencia’s away games (and in 88% of all their league matches).
VILLARREAL TEAM NEWS
Roberto Soldado, Mateo Musacchio and Denis Cheryshev remain sidelined by injury and Cédric Bakambu is at the Africa Cup of Nations with DR Congo. Striker Nicola Sansone and left-back Jaume Costa are both available again after bans.
VALENCIA TEAM NEWS
Rodrigo is a long-term absentee and Aymen Abdennour is on Africa Cup of Nations duty with Tunisia. Eliaquim Mangala returns from suspension. New signing Simone Zaza is back in training after a knee injury, but it’s doubtful whether he is ready to start here.